It’s 2030. This MOMA artist predicts the NFT space will look like this.

Elizabeth Bailey Weil
3 min readOct 26, 2021

by Elizabeth Weil, Managing Partner, Scribble VC

This is #3 of 8 “flash content drops” in collaboration with MOMA artist & entrepreneur Paul Budnitz (CEO, Superplastic). We cover The 3 Types of Intelligence, the Future of NFTs, the “Creator Brain”, and How to Stoke Risk-Taking. You can follow me on twitter to get them.

(p.s. SUPERPLASTIC IS HIRING! If you want to join a rocketship or know someone who should, Superplastic is hiring a Director of Marketing, a Marketing Manager, and a Paid Media Specialist.)

The NFT Universe in 2030

“(Most) fine artists who just tried to plunk their work online mostly failed.” — Paul Budnitz, Founder & CEO, Superplastic

  • In fundamental ways, NFTs are like anything else. You have to think long term, to innovate and you have to go beyond just seeing them as static works of “art”.
  • You have to make something fans really want long term.
  • So let’s look at the art world and how that’s likely to evolve…
  • The big question for most art collectors is: “How do I know what is valuable so I know what to buy?
  • Traditionally in the art world “value” is created by the few: collectors, gallery owners, museums, and sometimes the artists themselves.
  • But with crypto it’s a lot more decentralized. You have “whales” who are big collectors who buy the most art, but also millions of fans who collectively affect what’s popular and what ultimately has value.
  • And of course traditional galleries and auction houses (like Christies) have gotten involved.
  • If a traditional gallery or artist gets into the space, they need to figure out how to appeal to these new tastemakers.
  • Damien Hirst and Tom Sachs have done killer jobs at this by:
  • → gamifying their drops
  • → making art that appeals to wider audiences, and
  • → using their names as brands to draw in fans.
  • Other fine artists who just tried to plunk their work online mostly failed.
  • In 2030, here is where I see the NFT & creator space heading:
  • → Synthetic art created by Synthetic artists…
  • → sold to decentralized art collectives…
  • → on public blockchains…
  • → using public tokens…
  • →on chains that use close to zero energy.
  • And at the same time…
  • → Small run handmade art created by talented individuals to small groups of avid fans…
  • → on mini-blockchains that they control.
  • Watch Hirst, Sachs, and what we’re doing at Superplastic, and it becomes hard not to see the future of NFTs as reordering how art is made, valued, bought, and sold.
  • Groups/people to watch in this space:
  • Bored Ape Yacht Club
  • Tom Sachs
  • 3lau
  • Superplastic

Stay Tuned → Coming up at 2pm today — The Nonsense Hiring Myth Startups are Told (2 min read). Follow Elizabeth on Twitter to get this content drop.

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Elizabeth Bailey Weil

Founder and GP @ Scribble (scribble.vc). Prev. a16z, Twitter. Investor: SpaceX, Slack, Coinbase, Figma, Clubhouse, Calm, Grab. & more. Mom of 3. Ultra-runner.